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Travis's Blog


Posts from October 2012


Path to Miami Volume 3
Surprise, surprise.  Another team jumps Oregon despite a convincing Duck win.  Oregon State is now officially out of the National Championship picture, and by officially, I mean if you're being realistic.  There are only 5 unbeaten teams left: Alabama, Kansas State, Notre Dame, Oregon and Louisville.  Below is my evaluation of each team's chances at playing for the title.

 
1 - ALABAMA -BCS AVG: .9759 (8-0) Remaining Schedule: @LSU, Texas A&M, Western Carolina, Auburn, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta

The Tide got their first real 'test' of the season Saturday with an unbeaten #11 ranked Mississippi State team that had been playing extremely well on offense.  Alabama's defense did what they were supposed to and exposed the Bulldogs offense, who was on fire, but had not played anyone of note.  I'm not going to go as far as to say AJ McCarron should be a Heisman Trophy candidate but he is incredibly accurate, and is no longer a game manager for this team, he is a dangerous weapon on offense.  The running game isn't quite the same as  a year ago, but still more than capable, and if Alabama can stay balanced on offense and continue their defensive dominance there is a great chance the run the table.  Things don't get easier with LSU on the road this week, they still have a tough Texas A&M team in 2 weeks, and will play either Georgia or Florida in the conference title game should they get there.

2 - KANSAS STATE - BCS Avg: .9400 (8-0) Sked: Oklahoma State, @TCU, @ Baylor, Texas

K State seems to have the easiest road to going undefeated, unless you count Louisville, which I don't.  Collin Klein and the offense rolled again putting up another 50+ point game against Texas Tech, and the defense stopped a very talented Tech offense. I really don't know what to make out of their defense though.  They have played very well this season, but watching them against WV and TT, the opposition seems out of their game.  Is it because they happened to have an off day, or because of K State's D? I can't answer that.  Their strength of schedule took a hit with Oklahoma losing, OK ST and Texas are still ranked, but won't be with another loss (to KST), and with no conference championship, I really see the only way they get to Miami is if they are 1 of 2 unbeatens, again, not counting Louisville. 

3 - NOTRE DAME - BCS Avg: .9147 (8-0) Sked: Pitt, @ BC, Wake Forest, @USC

OK, now we can say the Irish are for real  NOBODY expected them to beat Oklahoma, and manhandle them the way they did.  ND was the first unbeaten team this late in the season to be a double digit underdog and win since Ohio State in the 2002 National Title game, which really means nothing, it's just an interesting stat. We talk about that ND defense and how outstanding they are, and they showed it again this week, but they had over 400 yards of total offense, including 215 on the ground.  Oklahoma's defense isn't extraordinary, but their offense is.  ND has 3 easy games before USC on the road, and we've seen USC be incredibly inconsistent, but at home, they are markedly better than on the road, so there's no guarantee ND wins out.  If they do, that would likely give USC 4 losses if they lose to Oregon, and put them at the bottom of the BCS top 25 if they remain ranked at all.  The ONLY other currently ranked team on their schedule is Stanford, who still has to play Oregon, plus they don't have a conference championship game, since they are independent.  The advantage they do have, is they don't have any cupcakes.  They have some below average level BCS Conference teams on the sked like Wake Forest, Pitt, and BC, and independent Navy.  The Computer polls have them #1, but with  the strength of schedule decreasing dramatically in the next 3 weeks, that will change. 

4 - OREGON - BCS Avg: .8966 (8-0) Sked: @USC, @CAL, Stanford, @ Oregon State, Pac 12 Title Game

The question Oregon fans are asking today is, at the end of the season will we be ahead of KST or ND if we are all unbeaten. Like I said above, I do think they pass Kansas State. The problem is if ND starts getting more love from the human polls.  There is a larger gap between KST at 3 and ND at 4 in both the Coaches Poll and the Harris Poll than there is between OR at 2 and K ST at 3, and Oregon needs to PRAY that it stays that way.  I still think there is a very good chance that Oregon passes both the Wildcats and the Irish at the end of the year, gaining some ground with the strength of schedule.  USC, Stanford Oregon State are still ranked for now.  It's far from a guarantee now that USC gets to the conference championship, UCLA now also controls their own destiny, either team can win out and get in. Arizona and Arizona State still have a legitimate shot.

This weekend was the WORST case scenario for the Ducks, excluding a loss.  USC and Oregon State lost, dropping their strength of schedule, Notre Dame and Kansas State won convincingly.  Oregon fans are going to be big time LSU fans on Saturday night.  So to recap for the Ducks, win out, hope the human polls stay the same, and hope because your remaining strength of schedule is superior to Kansas State and Notre Dame, that you will pass them, or close the gap in the computers.  You need Oregon State, USC, and Stanford to win as many games as possible.

5 - LSU - BCS Avg: .8163 (7-1) - Sked: Alabama, Miss St, Ole Miss, @ Arkansas, SEC Title Game (vs FL or GA)

LSU is coming off a bye as they host Alabama on Saturday.  If they win out, they go to the conference title game, not Alabama.  In order for the Tigers to go to the National Title game, they need to win out, and hope only 1 team is unbeaten. I do think they get in that way, but that's the only way.

6 - GEORGIA - BCS Avg: .7753 6-1) - Sked: Ole Miss, @ Auburn, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta (vs Bama or LSU)

A very impressive effort against Florida Saturday forcing 6 turnovers.  They do still have a chance.  They need some help. They need LSU to win this week, win the rest of their schedule including beating LSU in the conference title game, and hope that 1 or less teams are unbeaten. The Bulldogs regular season schedule is easy, if they win out, they go to Atlanta.  It's not unthinkable, just not very likely.

7 - FLORIDA - BCS Avg: .7604 (7-1) Sked: Missouri, ULL, Jacksonville State, @ Florida State, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta (vs Bama or LSU)

Florida is in a similar situation to Georgia. The only difference is, the Gators no longer control their own destiny, they need UGA to lose somewhere along the way so they can get to Atlanta.  Very unlikely.  That offense was UGLY on Saturday. This looked more like the Florida team we thought we would see more often this season.  Very strong defense, average at best offense.  The luck finally ran out. 

8 - SOUTH CAROLINA - BCS Avg: .5968 (7-2) Sked: vs Arkansas, vs Wofford, @ Clemson

With Marcus Lattimore's season and possibly career ending knee injury, the Cocks have no shot.  End of story.   They will probably win out, although Clemson on the road isn't easy.  They just can't get enough help to get to even a BCS bowl period, let alone the title game.

9 - FLORIDA STATE - BCS Avg: 5743 (8-1) Sked: @ Virginia Tech, @ Maryland, Florida, ACC Title Game @ Charlotte 

The Noles are the class of the ACC.  Big deal.  They SHOULD easily win the rest of their games, with Florida being the biggest challenge.  Even a 1 loss FSU team with no unbeatens will have a very very difficult time getting to the national title game.  Enjoy your consolation Orange Bowl, the paycheck, and look ahead to next year. 

10 - LOUISVILLE - BCS Avg: .5661 (8-0) Sked: Temple, @ Syracuse, UConn, @ Rutgers

The only remote chance they have is for the Cardinals to be the only unbeaten team.  If that happens, they may have a very slight chance of playing for it all, but like we see in the human polls and even the computers, there are several one loss teams already ahead of them, and that is not likely to change.  Louisville's remaining schedule certainly doesn't help.

11 - OREGON STATE - BCS Avg: .5559 (6-1) - Sked: Arizona State, @ Stanford, Cal, Oregon, Oregon, Nicholls State/Pac 12 Title Game

The national championship talk is over, so now the question is how can the Beavers get to a BCS Bowl.  The easy answer, win out.  Beat everyone, including Oregon, win the Pac-12 title game, you are automatically in.  I hate to say this, but you have to assume they lose to the Ducks, although Beaver fans might have something to say about that.  Let's assume that happens.  They need to beat ASU, Stanford, Cal and Nicholls State.  If they do, and they have 2 losses, there is a very good chance that they get to Pasadena, UNLESS Oregon stumbles somewhere.  If the Ducks go to the Rose Bowl, and not the national title game, Oregon State isn't enough of a draw for another BCS Bowl game to select them as an at large team, even with the rest of the conferences down.  The SEC will get 2 teams in, there are 5 other automatic bids, and ND will get in, so that's 8 teams, leaving 2 spots open.  The Big Ten and Big East won't get 2 teams in, leaving the ACC, Big 12 and Pac 12 fighting for those last 2 spots.  Clemson will take one if they win out, they won't play in the conference title game if FSU wins out, so that's one less chance of them losing a game.  Even a 2 loss Clemson with the second loss possibly being against South Carolina would get in over a 2 loss OSU.  A 2 loss Oklahoma would also be selected ahead of OSU.  Remember, this is up to the bowls to pick who they want, regardless of what is 'fair".  Because the Rose Bowl is obsessed with tradition, there is a very good chance they would select the Beavers ahead of Clemson or Oklahoma, there is no chance the other bowls do that. They do have to finish in the top 14 in the BCS in order to be eligible for an at large selection, as do the other schools involved.

**NO OTHER UNBEATEN TEAMS REMAIN
**Other Pac-12 Teams in BCS Top 25: (14) - Stanford; (17) - USC; (22) - Arizona

Title game: Oregon vs Alabama; Kansas State goes to Fiesta Bowl vs Notre Dame ; LSU in Sugar Bowl vs Oklahoma; Oregon State vs Nebraska in the Rose Bowl; Orange Bowl: Louisville vs Florida State

For more, tune in to Travis & Wilcox weekdays Noon-3 pacific on ESPN Sports Radio 1080 The FAN, www.1080thefan.com and the 1080 The FAN app.
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Path to Miami Volume 2
In the second edition of the BCS Standings, the Ducks get passed by Kansas State and Oregon State moves up a spot to 7.  No reason to be concerned Duck fans, still a lot of football to be played, and I still find it hard to believe K State will be ahead of Oregon at the end of the season, even if both are unbeaten.  I will explain what it will take for each team to get to the BCS Title Game, with predictions at the end.

 
 
1 - ALABAMA -BCS AVG: .9625 (7-0) Remaining Schedule: Miss St, @LSU, Texas A&M, Western Carolina, Auburn, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta

Aalabama has three tough games back to back, and then a game against either Florida or Georgia in the conference title game.  Can they do it? Well, if anyone can, it's the tide.  Their passing game is the best it's been in a long time, I'm still not sold on their run game, and their defense is outstanding.  They face a Mississippi State team Saturday that has the best offense in school history, but it's hard to know what to make of the Bulldogs, their best win is over Tennessee.  Then, it's off to Baton Rouge to see LSU who isn't last year's team, but still very good, and Zach Mettenberger is starting to play up to what was expected. Once that's done... they host Texas A&M.  Say what you will about Bama's schedule up to this point, but it's about to get real. 

 
2 - FLORIDA - BCS Avg: .9310 (7-0) Sked: Georgia, Missouri, ULL, Jacksonville State, @ Florida State, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta (Likely vs Alabama)
 
Florida crushed South Carolina 44-11 on Saturday, but they were helped out from some really bad self inflicted turnovers. Florida's offense was awful in the first half of that game. They had 2 first downs in the first half.  All 3 of their scoring drives in the first half were less than 30 yards.  Florida is very good, not great, and still has some glaring issues passing the football.  Brent Pease was extremely creative with his play calling, and this team is still trying to adjust to the spread from a more pro style offense, and they just aren't cohesive yet. I'm not sitting here telling you Florida isn't deserving of being #2 because I'm a Pac-12 homer.  Florida IS deserving of being #2 right now...3 at worst.  But they won't be there at the end of the year.  If they beat Georgia Saturday, they clinch a spot in the SEC title game.

3 - KANSAS STATE - BCS Avg: .9111 (7-0) Sked: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, @TCU, @ Baylor, Texas

K State fans are rooting for Oklahoma this week.  Why? Oklahoma is their best win, especially after seeing how badly West Virginia has been exposed the last couple of weeks.  If the Sooners lose, it drops their strength of schedule, if they win, they stay right up there in the top 10, and it knocks Notre Dame from the ranks of the unbeaten.  Kansas State really should go undefeated. They don't have a ton of defense, nobody in the Big 12 does, but these are all very winnable games, and Collin Klein is establishing himself as a Heisman favorite.  Even if the Wildcats run the table, Duck fans, and Beaver fans for that matter, shouldn't be too concerned. I'll explain below.

4 - OREGON - BCS Avg: .8966 (7-0) Sked: Colorado, @USC, @CAL, Stanford, @ Oregon State, Pac 12 Title Game

Oregon obviously has to win all of their games, if they do there is a great chance they get to Miami if they do that, regardless of what everyone else does.  Here's why for each team: Bama/Florida - if they run the table they face each other in the SEC title game, one will lose. Kansas State - Oregon's strength of schedule raises up quite a few notches after Colorado. Outside of Cal on the road, everyone else on their schedule is likely to be ranked, and fairly highly.  Factor in they do play a conference title game, and would have beaten USC twice most likely, and Kansas State does not have a conference title game, they would get the extra boost.  Notre Dame: See below. 

5 - NOTRE DAME - BCS Avg: .8512 (7-0) Sked: @Oklahoma, Pitt, @ BC, Wake Forest, @USC

3 wins here easily.... or at least should be. 3 AWFUL teams.  Oklahoma should be interesting.  The Sooners can score at will, but don't play much defense. The Irish can't score, and have an outstanding defense.  I just find it very hard to believe they will beat Oklahoma AND USC on the road, and I think most people will agree.  They can't compete offensively with either school, and BYU was able to put up 2 touchdowns after Notre Dame hadn't allowed an offensive TD in over a month.  I have to think they will allow 1 or 2 sustained drives and 1 or 2 big plays in each game.  They won't be able to overcome that.  IF they do, their schedule isn't easy, but it doesn't match up with Oregon. 

 
6 - LSU - BCS Avg: .7862 (7-1) - Sked: Alabama, Miss St, Ole Miss, @ Arkansas, SEC Title Game

LSU still has a shot. If they beat Alabama, and run the table, get revenge against Florida in the conference championship, and get some help.... 2 of the 3... Oregon, Kansas State, and Notre Dame lose, they will be the best 1 loss team, and get in.  

7 - OREGON STATE - BCS Avg: .7421 (6-0) - Sked: @ Washington, Arizona State, @ Stanford, Cal, Oregon, Oregon, Nicholls State/Pac 12 Title Game
 
The Beavers are finding ways to win.  Saturday was ugly, but what when they have 4 takeaways, and don't turn the ball over, they can beat anyone, even Oregon.  Where Oregon State gets in trouble on the field is when they match up with teams with a lot of speed, Oregon and USC. Arizona was able to go toe to toe with the Beavers on offense, I think Oregon and USC can do that farily easily, as long as they don't turn the ball over.  They don't have USC on the schedule so that would be in the conference championship, at home.  As far as the math is concerned, they get into trouble. Because USC isn't scheduled, they only have the chance to beat them once.  This is of course assuming OSU runs the table.  The ranked teams they would have beaten would be Oregon, Stanford,  USC, and now Wisconsin who has crept back in at #24.  Great wins, but not enough to pass Alabama/FloridaKansas State, or Notre Dame.  If the Beavs are 1 of 2 unbeatens, that's the only way they get to Miami, they have to get some help.


8 - OKLAHOMA - BCS Avg: .7142 (5-1) - Sked: Notre Dame, @ Iowa State, Baylor, @ WVU, Oklahoma State, @ TCU

No chance at playing for the title.  IF there aren't 2 unbeatens, any SEC school would get in over the Sooners, so would Oregon, USC or Notre Dame. Again, no conference title game really hurts if it comes down to that.  

 
9 - USC - BCS Avg: .5767 (6-1) - Sked: @ Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State, @ UCLA, Notre Dame, Pac 12 Title Game

If they beat Oregon twice, and Notre Dame, they may have a chance with some help. And by some, I mean a LOT.  There would have to be no unbeaten teams, then they could get in over Kansas State, Oklahoma, Notre Dame (who could have 2 losses).  

10 - GEORGIA - BCS Avg: .5379 (6-1) - Sked: Florida, Ole Miss, @ Auburn, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech

Running the table for the Dawgs means a win over #2 Florida, and likely a win over #1 Alabama in the SEC title game.  The rest of their schedule is very weak.. No Bama or LSU in the regular season.  There really is no chance.  

OTHER UNBEATEN TEAMS IN BCS TOP 25 - 11 Mississippi State (7-0), 15 Rutgers (6-0), 16 Louisville (6-0), Ohio (7-0)
 
Mississippi State still has Bama and LSU on the road, and Texas A&M at home. The Rutgers and Louisville play each other at the end of the season, and have as much of a chance at playing in the title game as Ohio does. 

Once again, it's simple.  Wait and see.  It's easy to say Alabama is the best team, and will be unbeaten, but that schedule is so difficult. I think they do, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they lose.  Florida will lose to Alabama.  Kansas State will probably go undefeated, I really think so. I also think Oregon does as well.  I see Notre Dame losing twice.  I think Oregon State makes it through with 1 loss, to Oregon, but if they have an overall offensive effort like they did against Utah, they could lose any of their remaining games.  Especially Stanford on the road.  So what do I think happens?

Title game: Oregon vs Alabama; Kansas State goes to Fiesta Bowl; Florida in Sugar Bowl; Oregon State vs Wisconsin rematch in the Rose Bowl; I don't care what happens in the Big East and the ACC, and neither does anyone else. 
 
For more, tune in to Travis & Wilcox weekdays Noon-3 pacific on ESPN Sports Radio 1080 The FAN, www.1080thefan.com and the 1080 The FAN app.
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Breaking Down the First BCS Standings of 2012
So the first BCS Standings are out, and like always until the end, they pretty much mean nothing.  Does it matter that Florida and Alabama are ahead of Oregon? No, it will all play out by the end of the season.  Alabama is far and away the #1 based on the BCS Average, Kansas State is closer to Oregon, than Oregon is to Florida.  Lets take a look at the top 10 and check out each team's path to Miami, with predictions at the end.  

1 - ALABAMA -BCS AVG: .976 (6-0) Remaining Schedule: @Tennessee; Miss St, @LSU, Texas A&M, Western Carolina, Auburn, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta

At this point, everyone expects Alabama to be the latest team from the SEC to play for the Natty, and probably win the 7th straight for the conference, and their second straight and third in four years.  There are 2 road blocks on the schedule. @LSU, and the SEC title game which will either be Florida, Georgia, or South Carolina.  Bama was fortunate enough to avoid all 3 on their regular season schedule.  Texas A&M is good, but that game is in Tuscaloosa, and I don't expect the Tide to have trouble.  It's easy to say Alabama will run the table, but it's not that simple.  Their game with LSU on Nov 3 is on the road, which is never easy for anyone.  LSU finally looked like a top level team last night, but it took a loss to Florida for them to get there.  More on the Tigers in a minute.   The bigger thing I look at right now is how easy their overall sked is for an SEC schedule. It's not their fault Michigan isn't very good, and they avoid FL, GA, and SC, but one tough road game all year, LSU, and that's it. 

2 - FLORIDA - BCS Avg: .909 (6-0) Sked: South Carolina, Georgia, Missouri, ULL, Jacksonville State, @ Florida State, SEC Title Game @ Atlanta (Likely vs Alabama)

It's been somewhat of a surprise the Gators are unbeaten at this point.  Not a huge shock they beat LSU, we all expected LSU to go down at some point with the way they had been playing up until then.  The A&M win is looking better and better.  With SC, GA and FSU on the sked before a potential SEC title game, it's hard to imagne the Gators will end up in Atlanta without a loss.  They finally figured out the QB position, but Jeff Driskell is not a great passer, and while they haven't given up a ton of points, the defense is inconsistent.  Theoretically, the Gators could be unblemished facing an unbeaten Bama team for the SEC title, but I don't expect it.  If that is the case, and there is another unbeaten somewhere else, one of the two will miss out. 

3 - OREGON - BCS Avg: .899 (6-0) Sked: @ Arizona State, Colorado, @USC, @CAL, Stanford, @ Oregon State, Pac 12 Title Game

Ok Duck fans, it's simple.  Win all your games, and you play for the natty.  That's easier said than done, with ASU on the road this week, and USC and Cal on the road later this year.  I don't expect much trouble against Stanford.  If they do go unbeaten all year, then they have to beat USC or ASU at home for the P12 title.  These things always work themselves out and I don't think it's very likely that there will be 3 or more unbeatens.  If they do lose a game, it's going to be very difficult to play for the title, even if everyone else has a loss.  

4 - KANSAS STATE - BCS Avg: .896 (6-0) Sked: @ WVU, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, @TCU, @ Baylor, Texas

Not an easy schedule for the cats.  Kansas State all year has struggled in the first half of games, then turns it on in the second half.  Eventually it will catch up to them.  It could be this week on the road at West Virginia who will be looking to make a statement after getting shredded by Texas Tech last week.  Collin Klein is a very good dual threat QB, and they do have some offensive weapons, but their defense is average.  There isn't an easy game left, but if they do go the rest of the way without a loss, we might get that K State - Oregon matchup that the Wildcats backed out of before the season started.  

5 - NOTRE DAME - BCS Avg: .877 (6-0) Sked: BYU, @Oklahoma, Pitt, @ BC, Wake Forest, @USC

The Golden Domers are relevant for the first time in a decade. BYU will be interesting this weekend, after seeing OSU's offense put up impressive numbers, but that should be a deffensive battle.  Road games with OK, and USC are obviously the toughest on the schedule, and both teams will have a lot to play for.  I'm impressed that Brian Kelly has brought the Irish back to prominence, at least on the surface, but I just don't trust them to be able to do it for 12 games without a mistake.  

 
6 - LSU - BCS Avg: .752  (6-1) - Sked: @ Texas A&M, Alabama, Miss St, Ole Miss, @ Arkansas, SEC Title Game

LSU still controls their own destiny for the conference title, and if they are able to win out, they will play for the title.  If they play like they did against South Carolina, they certainly have a shot.  If they play like they did in the 3-4 previous weeks, they don't.  They scored 23 points against a very very good Gamecock Defense, and held on of the more dynamic offenses in the country to just 21 points.  This week in College Station is no walk in the park, there is a potential loss there, but LSU was expected to content for the national championship at the start of the year, and I still think they can.  

7 - SOUTH CAROLINA - BCS Avg: .693 (6-1) - Sked: @ Florida, Tenn, Arkansas, Wofford, @ Clemson, SEC Title Game

The Gamecocks very nearly came out of death valley Saturday with a win, and had they, they would be #2 right now, and Florida would be #3.  If they win out, they will either get another crack at LSU (which would mean everyone in the SEC has a loss, and SC could end up in Miami should they win) or face Alabama, either way, it's going to be more than a challenge.  

8 - OREGON STATE - BCS Avg: 680 (5-0) - Sked: Utah, @ Washington, Arizona State, @ Stanford, Cal, Oregon, Oregon, Nicholls  State/Pac 12 Title Game

If you expected this, you are either a moron, a liar, or both.  5-0 for the first time since 1939, and winning games in different ways... including putting up an offensive show with their backup QB against a very stout BYU defense.  No SC on the schedule works in their favor, and they control their own destiny.  There are still multiple challenges on the schedule, but there have been crazier things in sports than Oregon State running the table if it happens. 

9 - OKLAHOMA - BCS Avg: 666 (4-1) - Sked: Kansas, Notre Dame, @ Iowa State, Baylor, @ WVU, Oklahoma State, @ TCU

The Sooners always make a mistake, the question is, will Kansas State be the only one. There are still 2 very tough games left with ND, and WV, TCU not as difficult with Pachall missing the rest of the year.  In order to finish in the top 2, they need some help. 

 
10 - USC - BCS Avg: .595(5-1) - Sked: Colorado, @ Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State, @ UCLA, Notre Dame, Pac 12 Title Game

Because of USC's name and history, they will get some votes where other schools with the same resume might not.  Win out, with some tough games, and get some help and they will have a decent chance at playing for it all.  They have to be better offensively.  Matt Barkley hasn't looked like the Matt Barkley we thought we were going to see, and he may have cost himself the #1 pick with his play through the first 6 games.  Will their lack of depth come into play as the season wears on... that's the biggest issue. 
 
OTHER UNBEATEN TEAMS IN BCS TOP 25 - 12 Mississippi State (6-0), 15 Rutgers (6-0), 16 Louisville (6-0), 21 Cincinnati (5-0
Mississippi State still has Bama and LSU on the road, and Texas A&M at home.  The 3 big east schools still have to play each other. 

Only 2 SEC schools can play in BCS Bowl games, so there are going to be a few teams with hurt feelings at the end of the year, just like every year.  Whoever loses the LSU Alabama game will be one of those this year.  I really don't see two SEC teams playing for the title again, but it could happen.  I have this sneaking feeling Notre Dame is going to go unbeaten.  I don't think they are one of the top 5 teams in the country, but with their schedule compared to everyone elses, I think they have the best shot at going undefeated.  I do think LSU beats Alabama.  I do think Florida loses, and so does Kansas State.  It's a tough task for Oregon to beat USC or Arizona State twice, but I think they do. Yes, I think we see Oregon and Notre Dame play for the natty.  There's a 100% chance my opinion will change by this time next week.  

For more, tune in to Travis & Wilcox weekdays Noon-3 pacific on ESPN Sports Radio 1080 The FAN, www.1080thefan.com and the 1080 The FAN app. 
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